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Asset Allocation

Splitting A Portfolio By Purpose

Dividing savings according to when the money is needed produces different allocation answers for each pot, because the constraint is the horizon rather than the total amount.

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A single pool of savings usually serves several purposes with different deadlines. Treating it as one undifferentiated sum forces one allocation decision where several are needed.

Horizon determines what is tolerable

Money needed within a short period cannot absorb a large decline, because there is no time for recovery before it must be spent.

Money not needed for decades faces a different constraint, since it has time to recover from falls but is exposed to the erosion of purchasing power over long periods.

These are genuinely different problems, and a single allocation cannot be well suited to both. Splitting the pool lets each part be matched to its own deadline.

Each pot gets its own answer

A near-term pot is typically concerned with stability and access, so the composition tends towards instruments whose value does not move much.

A long-term pot can accept variation in exchange for the possibility of growth, because the timing of any given year's outcome matters little.

Nothing about this requires separate accounts, though separate accounts make the boundaries harder to blur when one pot looks more appealing than another.

The buckets are not fixed forever

Time passes and a long-term goal becomes a medium-term one. A pot's appropriate composition therefore changes as its deadline approaches.

Handling this gradually rather than in a single move avoids concentrating the entire transition on whatever conditions happen to prevail on one date.

The trigger for change is the passage of time or a change in the goal, not the recent performance of the holdings inside the pot.

Some goals have no deadline at all

Money held for unspecified future use, or intended to pass on, has an indefinite horizon, which is a different case from a long but defined one.

Such a pot is generally constrained by the holder's willingness to see it fluctuate rather than by any date.

An emergency reserve is the opposite case, with a horizon that could be tomorrow, which is why access matters more than return for that portion.

Purpose framing changes what feels like a loss

Judging a pot against its purpose rather than against the market changes what counts as success. A near-term pot that preserved value has done its job.

Without that framing, every pot gets compared against whichever asset performed best, which produces dissatisfaction with holdings that are behaving exactly as intended.

The structure also makes withdrawals easier to plan, since it is clear in advance which part of the portfolio a given expense is supposed to come from.

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Anton Brekke
Editor, Finance Spyder

Anton managed multi-asset portfolios for eleven years and has become steadily less interested in forecasts over that period.

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